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Taiwan-China formal talks by end of 2024?
5
Taiwan•China•Taiwanese•Lai•United States•Biden•State Department•House Foreign Affairs Committee•Michael McCaul•Taiwan Strait•Sean Bell
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the governments of Taiwan and China
Story
Taiwan's New President Lai Ching-te Faces Chinese Military Drills, US Reaffirms Support with McCaul Visit
May 27, 2024, 12:07 AM
Following the inauguration of Taiwan's new President Lai Ching-te on May 20, China has conducted extensive military drills around Taiwan, including mock videos of missile attacks on Taiwanese cities. Despite the heightened military activity, President Lai has extended goodwill and cooperation toward China. The United States has reaffirmed its support for Taiwan, with President Biden and the State Department voicing concerns over China's actions during a routine democratic transition. A bipartisan U.S. congressional delegation, led by House Foreign Affairs Committee Chairman Michael McCaul, visited Taiwan to discuss regional security, trade, and investment, signaling strong U.S. support for Taiwan's defense and stability in the Taiwan Strait. Military analyst Sean Bell noted that China's actions appear to be testing Taiwan's defensive capabilities.
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Direct talks between China and Taiwan • 25%
Mediated talks through another country or organization • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Informal backchannel talks • 25%
Military drill • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Diplomatic protest • 34%
Increased military readiness • 33%
Seek international support • 33%
Negotiation with China • 34%
Relations improve significantly • 33%
No significant change in relations • 33%
Relations deteriorate • 34%
Maintains status quo • 33%
Moves towards independence • 33%
Under Chinese control • 34%
