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Will Trump's security clearance executive order face legal challenges by Mar 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from major news outlets or court filings
Story
Trump to Suspend Security Clearances for 51 Officials Over Hunter Biden Laptop Claims, Plans 200 Executive Actions on First Day
Jan 19, 2025, 10:07 PM
Former President Donald Trump plans to suspend the security clearances of 51 national security officials who allegedly misrepresented information regarding Hunter Biden's laptop ahead of the 2020 presidential election. This action is part of a broader strategy, as Trump is expected to take more than 200 executive actions on his first day back in office. Reports indicate that Trump will sign an executive order to implement this suspension, which is viewed by some as a justified and overdue measure.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Legal challenge filed • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Reversal of suspension • 25%
No legal challenge • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy is reversed • 25%
Policy continues unchanged • 25%
Policy is modified • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No legal challenges • 25%
Challenges from federal level • 25%
Challenges from state level • 25%
Challenges from both levels • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
