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Will the Trump administration face legal challenges related to the background check process by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Court filings or official legal announcements
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Trump Transition Team Signs MOU with DOJ for Nominee Background Checks and Security Clearances
Dec 3, 2024, 09:14 PM
The Trump transition team has entered into a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) with the U.S. Department of Justice to facilitate background checks and security clearances for Trump nominees and senior appointees. This agreement allows the Trump team to submit names for these processes, ensuring that the incoming administration is prepared to take office. The move comes in response to requests from senators for background checks on Trump's nominees and follows the Trump transition team's commitment to thorough vetting.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Some challenges, none successful • 25%
Some challenges, some successful • 25%
Majority of challenges successful • 25%
No significant challenges • 25%
International legal dispute • 25%
Impeachment proceedings • 25%
Congressional investigation • 25%
Supreme Court case • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Challenges in lower courts only • 25%
Challenges reaching appellate courts • 25%
Challenges reaching the Supreme Court • 25%
Other • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Department of State • 25%
Department of Justice • 25%
No change • 25%
Stricter laws enacted • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Looser laws enacted • 25%
State court challenges • 25%
Federal court challenges • 25%
Both federal and state challenges • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Proposals struck down • 25%
No significant legal challenges • 25%
Proposals upheld in court • 25%
Proposals partially upheld • 25%
Policies completely struck down • 25%
Policies upheld • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Policies partially struck down • 25%