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What will be the outcome of Trump's suspension of security clearances by March 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No legal challenge • 25%
Legal challenge filed • 25%
Reversal of suspension • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Official responses from affected officials or legal actions taken
Story
Trump to Suspend Security Clearances of 51 Intelligence Officials on Day 1, Aiming to Reform Agencies
Jan 19, 2025, 11:42 PM
President-elect Donald Trump plans to suspend the security clearances of 51 former intelligence officials who claimed that reporting on Hunter Biden's laptop had 'the classic earmarks' of Russian disinformation ahead of the 2020 presidential election. This action is part of a series of over 200 executive orders Trump is expected to sign on his first day back in the Oval Office, according to Fox News. The move targets the officials, referred to as the 'Spies Who Lie,' and is part of Trump's broader efforts to reform the federal intelligence agencies. The laptop, which was confirmed authentic by federal authorities, was at the center of controversy due to its contents, which included allegations of foreign influence-peddling and other activities by Hunter Biden.
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Revoked by Trump administration • 25%
Blocked by legal action • 25%
Implemented without issue • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Policy is reversed • 25%
Policy continues unchanged • 25%
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Supportive • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Critical • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
Michael Hayden • 25%
John Brennan • 25%
James Clapper • 25%
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FBI • 25%
CIA • 25%
NSA • 25%
Private Company A • 25%
Private Company B • 25%
FBI • 25%
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