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Market
Will the war in Gaza end permanently by the end of 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from involved governments and international bodies
Story
Biden Announces Second Phase of Gaza Ceasefire to Remove Hamas, End War Permanently
Jan 19, 2025, 04:23 PM
U.S. President Joe Biden announced that the second phase of the ceasefire agreement in Gaza, set to begin on the 16th day, will aim to remove Hamas from power and ensure a permanent end to the war. This phase will also include negotiations for the release of Israeli soldiers. Biden highlighted that the ceasefire, which he attributes to a major success of his administration, has led to the release of three Israeli hostages, Doron Steinbrecher, Emily Damari, and Romi Gonen. The ceasefire agreement, initially proposed by Biden in May, has now come into effect, with humanitarian aid entering Gaza. The next phase of negotiations will be handled by the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Escalation • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Lasting peace agreement • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Failed negotiations • 25%
Long-term ceasefire • 25%
Short-term ceasefire • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Ceasefire in effect • 25%
Renewed negotiations • 25%