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Will NATO or the US acknowledge a reduced nuclear threat from Russia due to Oreshnik by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from NATO or US defense departments
Story
Putin: Oreshnik Missile System Minimizes Need for Nuclear Weapons Amid Doctrine Improvement
Dec 10, 2024, 03:39 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated that the development and deployment of the Oreshnik missile system could significantly reduce the necessity for Russia to rely on nuclear weapons. Putin emphasized that Russia is not hardening its nuclear doctrine but rather improving it, suggesting that the focus should now be on enhancing the Oreshnik missile rather than the nuclear doctrine itself. He mentioned that a sufficient number of these modern weapon systems would bring Russia to the brink of not needing nuclear weapons at all. This shift in strategy comes amidst skepticism regarding the credibility of Russia's nuclear threats and the effectiveness of the Oreshnik missile system.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
NATO • 25%
China • 25%
India • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
New sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Military Exercises • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No talks held • 25%