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What will be the outcome of potential Russia-NATO nuclear talks by the end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate with no agreement • 25%
Talks postponed • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Official statements from NATO or Russian government
Story
Putin Conducts Nuclear Drill, Warns of Possible Use as Last Resort Against NATO
Oct 29, 2024, 12:55 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has conducted a strategic nuclear deterrence forces exercise, emphasizing the need for Russia's nuclear forces to be ready. He stated that while the use of nuclear weapons is an extreme measure and a last resort to ensure the country's security, it remains possible under certain conditions. Putin has hardened his posture against NATO amid new threats, asserting that Russia does not wish to participate in an arms race but must be prepared.
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New arms control agreement • 25%
Increased tensions without agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
No Change • 25%
Deteriorated Relations • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Talks successful, no arms provided • 25%
Talks fail, arms provided • 25%
Talks ongoing, no decision • 25%
Talks fail, no arms provided • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Increased military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Economic sanctions imposed • 25%
Another prisoner swap • 25%
Economic agreement • 25%
Military de-escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Agreement on non-armament • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed diplomatic relations • 25%
Increased global nuclear armament • 25%
New nuclear disarmament talks • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
New treaty signed • 25%
Improved relations without formal treaty • 25%
No significant progress • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Normalization achieved • 25%
New agreement signed • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%