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What changes in global nuclear arms control agreements will occur due to the Oreshnik system by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
New agreement signed • 25%
Existing agreement revised • 25%
No changes • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Official international arms control agreements or treaties
Story
Putin: Oreshnik Missile System Minimizes Need for Nuclear Weapons Amid Doctrine Improvement
Dec 10, 2024, 03:39 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has stated that the development and deployment of the Oreshnik missile system could significantly reduce the necessity for Russia to rely on nuclear weapons. Putin emphasized that Russia is not hardening its nuclear doctrine but rather improving it, suggesting that the focus should now be on enhancing the Oreshnik missile rather than the nuclear doctrine itself. He mentioned that a sufficient number of these modern weapon systems would bring Russia to the brink of not needing nuclear weapons at all. This shift in strategy comes amidst skepticism regarding the credibility of Russia's nuclear threats and the effectiveness of the Oreshnik missile system.
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Formal reduction in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Increased reliance on hypersonic missiles • 25%
No change in nuclear doctrine • 25%
Other changes • 25%
New arms control agreement • 25%
Increased tensions without agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russia resumes nuclear testing • 25%
Russia strengthens nuclear arsenal without testing • 25%
Russia maintains current policy • 25%
Russia reduces nuclear capabilities • 25%
Increased global nuclear armament • 25%
New nuclear disarmament talks • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Moratorium lifted • 25%
Moratorium maintained • 25%
Conditional lifting • 25%
No official decision • 25%
Increase in nuclear arsenal • 25%
Decrease in nuclear arsenal • 25%
New deployment strategy • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes, significant increase • 25%
Yes, moderate increase • 25%
No, status quo maintained • 25%
No, decrease in arms race • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
UN Security Council resolution • 25%
NATO joint statement • 25%
G7 joint statement • 25%
No response • 25%
More aggressive stance • 25%
Maintaining current stance • 25%
Adopting a defensive stance • 25%
Other significant changes • 25%