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Will China gain increased control over the Panama Canal by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Panama Canal Authority or Chinese government, credible news reports
Story
China's $1.3 Billion Investment in Peru's Chancay Port and Influence Over Panama Canal Raises U.S. Concerns
Jan 5, 2025, 03:20 AM
U.S. officials are increasingly concerned about the growing influence of Chinese companies and the Chinese government over global shipping and ports, including the Panama Canal. Despite former President Donald Trump's exaggerated claims regarding China's control, reports indicate that China's investments in ports worldwide, such as a $1.3 billion investment in Chancay port in Peru, are transforming these locations into strategic trade hubs. This investment is seen as part of China's broader strategy to enhance its dominance in Latin American trade and strengthen its global port network. The implications of these developments have raised alarms among U.S. officials regarding national security and economic interests.
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China gains control • 25%
U.S. gains control • 25%
Panama retains control • 25%
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Chinese Control • 25%
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Maintain neutrality • 25%
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Improved relations • 25%
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