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Will an international investigation be launched into the Azerbaijan Airlines crash by December 31, 2025?
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Ilham Aliyev•Azerbaijan•Azerbaijani•Russia•Azerbaijan Airlines•AZAL•Aktau•Kazakhstan•Aliyev•Moscow•Russian•Vladimir Putin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from international aviation bodies or news reports
Story
Azerbaijan's President Says Plane Shot Down by Russia, 38 Dead
Dec 29, 2024, 01:21 PM
President Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan announced that the Azerbaijani passenger plane that crashed last week was damaged by ground fire from Russia and rendered uncontrollable by electronic warfare. The Azerbaijan Airlines (AZAL) flight crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, killing 38 people. Aliyev called on Moscow to admit guilt, punish those responsible, and pay compensation. He criticized Russia for attempting to conceal the cause of the crash by spreading false narratives and expressed disappointment over Russia's handling of the incident. Aliyev noted that Russian President Vladimir Putin had apologized for the tragedy occurring in Russian airspace.
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Other • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Russian military fault • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Kazakhstan • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Azerbaijan • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Other • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Intentional attack • 25%
Human error • 25%
Other international bodies • 25%
No significant international involvement • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
UN involvement • 25%