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What will be the outcome of the investigation into the Azerbaijan Airlines plane downing by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Human error • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Intentional attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigation reports or credible news outlets
Story
Azerbaijan Says Russia to Punish Those Who Shot Down Plane in Kazakhstan, Killing 38
Dec 30, 2024, 11:23 AM
Azerbaijan announced that Russia has promised to identify and punish those responsible for the downing of an Azerbaijan Airlines plane. The aircraft, which crashed on December 25 in Kazakhstan, was allegedly shot at by Russian air defenses before crash landing. President Ilham Aliyev claims that the plane was mistakenly targeted by Russian air defenses. The incident resulted in the deaths of 38 people. Azerbaijan's General Prosecutor stated that Moscow has committed to finding and holding accountable those involved in the crash.
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Russian military fault • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Comprehensive resolution with accountability • 25%
Partial resolution with some accountability • 25%
Unresolved with no accountability • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Russia found responsible • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Identified individuals and legal action taken • 25%
No individuals identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Identified individuals but no legal action • 25%
Technical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
External interference • 25%
Russia admits guilt • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Russia denies involvement • 25%
Joint responsibility acknowledged • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No action • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Undetermined • 25%