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What level of international involvement will there be in the investigation of the Azerbaijan Airlines plane incident by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN involvement • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
No significant international involvement • 25%
Other international bodies • 25%
Reports from international organizations or credible news outlets
Story
Azerbaijan Says Russia to Punish Those Who Shot Down Plane in Kazakhstan, Killing 38
Dec 30, 2024, 11:23 AM
Azerbaijan announced that Russia has promised to identify and punish those responsible for the downing of an Azerbaijan Airlines plane. The aircraft, which crashed on December 25 in Kazakhstan, was allegedly shot at by Russian air defenses before crash landing. President Ilham Aliyev claims that the plane was mistakenly targeted by Russian air defenses. The incident resulted in the deaths of 38 people. Azerbaijan's General Prosecutor stated that Moscow has committed to finding and holding accountable those involved in the crash.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other cause • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Russian military fault • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
Partial resolution with some accountability • 25%
Unresolved with no accountability • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Comprehensive resolution with accountability • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No action • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Joint investigation • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Positive response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and Russia • 25%
Multiple countries including international bodies • 25%
Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and another country • 25%
Only Azerbaijan and Kazakhstan • 25%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%
Russia • 25%
Kazakhstan • 25%
Azerbaijan • 25%
Other • 25%