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Outcome of international investigation into Azerbaijan Airlines incident by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia confirmed responsible • 25%
Russia cleared of responsibility • 25%
Inconclusive findings • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Official reports from the international investigation committee or announcements from involved countries
Story
White House Confirms Azerbaijan Airlines Plane Shot Down by Russian Missile in Kazakhstan on Christmas Day
Dec 27, 2024, 06:01 PM
The White House has confirmed that indications suggest an Azerbaijani plane that crashed in Kazakhstan on Christmas Day was shot down by a Russian missile. This statement was made on December 27, 2024, following an investigation into the incident. The evidence points to the involvement of Russia in the downing of the Azerbaijan Airlines flight, which has raised concerns regarding the ongoing tensions in the region.
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Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Missile strike confirmed • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
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Technical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Azerbaijan • 25%
Kazakhstan • 25%
Other • 25%
Azerbaijan • 25%
Kazakhstan • 25%
Russia • 25%
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Azerbaijan • 25%
Kazakhstan • 25%
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Joint investigation • 25%
