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Who will win the suburban vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Split evenly • 25%
Other candidate • 25%
Official election results and exit polls from major news outlets
Story
Kamala Harris Leads Trump by 4 Points in Final PBS News/NPR/Marist Pre-Election Survey
Nov 5, 2024, 11:34 PM
On the eve of the 2024 presidential election, Vice President Kamala Harris holds a 4-point lead over former President Donald Trump among likely voters nationally, according to the latest PBS News/NPR/Marist poll. Harris has the support of 51% of likely voters compared to Trump’s 47%, according to the final survey. The race remains tight, with significant attention on swing states and suburban areas. Harris is narrowly winning suburban Hamilton County, Indiana, which Trump won by 7 points in 2020. Voting ends soon, and the first wave of results is expected shortly.
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Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Republican Candidate • 25%
Democratic Candidate • 25%
Independent Candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Split between multiple candidates • 34%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other (Third-party candidate) • 25%
Tie between candidates • 25%
Biden wins Pennsylvania • 17%
Biden wins Michigan • 17%
Trump wins Michigan • 17%
Biden wins Wisconsin • 17%
Trump wins Wisconsin • 17%
Harris wins Florida • 25%
Trump wins Florida • 25%
Harris wins Pennsylvania • 25%
Trump wins Pennsylvania • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other • 34%
Donald Trump wins Michigan • 25%
Joe Biden wins Michigan • 25%
Kamala Harris wins Michigan • 25%
Nikki Haley wins Michigan • 25%
Another Democratic candidate • 25%
Another Republican candidate • 25%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Donald Trump • 33%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Winner Declared • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 50%
Kamala Harris wins • 50%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
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Ron DeSantis • 25%
Democratic Nominee • 33%
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Third Party Candidate • 25%
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Democratic nominee • 25%
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Independent candidate • 25%
Independent Candidate • 25%
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Third-Party Candidate • 17%
Republican Candidate • 25%
Other Democratic candidate • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
Nikki Haley wins • 25%
No clear winner by end of day • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump wins the election • 25%
Joe Biden wins the election • 25%
Kamala Harris wins the election • 25%
Nikki Haley wins the election • 25%
No Winner Declared by Deadline • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Third-party candidate • 25%
Harris wins • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
No Winner Declared • 25%
Tie/No Clear Winner • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Trump wins • 25%
Biden wins • 25%
RFK Jr. wins • 25%
Other wins • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Joe Biden wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
Other Democratic candidate • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
Other Candidate • 34%
No winner declared by December 2024 • 25%
Other • 34%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%