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Who will win key swing states in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Biden wins Pennsylvania • 17%
Biden wins Michigan • 17%
Trump wins Michigan • 17%
Biden wins Wisconsin • 17%
Trump wins Wisconsin • 17%
Harris wins Florida • 25%
Trump wins Florida • 25%
Harris wins Pennsylvania • 25%
Trump wins Pennsylvania • 25%
Official election results
Story
Kamala Harris Leads Trump by 3.1% in National Polls as of September 3 and 4
Sep 4, 2024, 05:12 PM
Recent national polling averages indicate that Kamala Harris holds a slight lead over Donald Trump in the 2024 presidential race. According to various sources, Harris's lead ranges from 1.9% to 4%, with an overall average of 3.1%. Notable polling organizations such as 538, DDHQ, Economist, NYT, RCP, and Silver have reported these figures. As of September 4, 2024, Harris leads by 3.3% in a 28-day flat average of high-quality A/B rated pollsters. Despite this lead, some commentators note that the race remains competitive, with Trump maintaining significant support. Both candidates are actively campaigning, with Trump making numerous media appearances and Harris focusing on key states like New Hampshire. The polling data was updated on September 3 and September 4.
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