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Who will win the 2024 presidential election?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Democratic Nominee • 33%
Republican Nominee • 25%
Third Party Candidate • 25%
Democratic candidate • 25%
Republican candidate • 25%
Democratic nominee • 25%
Republican nominee • 25%
Independent candidate • 25%
Independent Candidate • 25%
Democratic Candidate • 25%
Third-Party Candidate • 17%
Republican Candidate • 25%
Other Democratic candidate • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
Nikki Haley wins • 25%
No clear winner by end of day • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump wins the election • 25%
Joe Biden wins the election • 25%
Kamala Harris wins the election • 25%
Nikki Haley wins the election • 25%
No Winner Declared by Deadline • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Third-party candidate • 25%
Harris wins • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
No Winner Declared • 25%
Tie/No Clear Winner • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Trump wins • 25%
Biden wins • 25%
RFK Jr. wins • 25%
Other wins • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Joe Biden wins • 25%
Other candidate wins • 25%
Official election results published by the Federal Election Commission or major news outlets
Story
Kamala Harris Campaign Aides Admit to HuffPost: Internal Polling Never Showed Her Leading Trump
Nov 26, 2024, 11:17 PM
Senior aides to Kamala Harris's presidential campaign have admitted to HuffPost that internal polling never showed her ahead of Donald Trump, despite the campaign's public portrayal of competitiveness. The campaign, which reportedly cost over a billion dollars, faced insurmountable challenges according to David Plouffe, a senior adviser, who said, 'We were hopeful. I don’t know how optimistic we were, but we thought, OK, this is tied, and if a couple things break our way [we could win].' The revelation suggests that the campaign's portrayal of its competitive standing was not supported by its own metrics, leading to questions about the campaign's strategy and public messaging, with some aides suggesting Democrats were relying on fraud.
View original story
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Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Democratic candidate • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
Joe Biden wins • 20%
Nikki Haley wins • 20%
Chase Oliver wins • 20%
Biden wins • 25%
Trump wins • 25%
Another Democrat wins • 25%
Another Republican wins • 25%
Ron DeSantis • 25%
Cornel West • 25%
Kamala Harris and Tim Walz • 25%
Donald Trump and Running Mate • 25%
No clear winner by end of November 5 • 25%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. • 25%
Kamala Harris & Tim Walz • 25%
Donald Trump & Running Mate • 25%
Other Democratic candidate • 25%
Other Republican candidate • 25%
Democratic Nominee • 25%
Third-Party Candidate • 25%
Another Democratic candidate • 25%
Another Republican candidate • 25%
Another Democrat • 25%
Another Republican • 25%
Kamala Harris wins • 25%
Donald Trump wins • 25%
Another Republican candidate wins • 25%
Another Democratic candidate wins • 25%
No Winner Declared • 25%
Donald Trump/JD Vance • 25%
Joe Biden/Kamala Harris • 25%
Other GOP Ticket • 25%
Other Democratic Ticket • 25%
No clear winner by November 5 • 25%
No winner declared by December 2024 • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Clear Winner • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
No winner declared • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
No Winner Announced by 11/5/2024 • 25%
No winner declared by Nov 5 • 25%
Donald Trump • 33%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
No Winner Declared by Nov 5 • 25%
No clear winner • 25%
No clear winner by end of 2024 • 25%
No winner declared by end of 2024 • 25%
No Clear Winner by Nov 5 • 25%
Democratic candidate • 25%
Republican candidate • 25%
Third-party candidate • 25%
No clear winner by end of November • 25%
Tim Walz • 25%
Other candidate • 25%
No clear winner by deadline • 25%
No clear winner by November 10, 2024 • 25%
No Winner Declared by Dec 31, 2024 • 25%
No winner declared by this date • 25%
No Winner Declared by November 6 • 25%
No clear winner by November 6 • 25%
No Winner Declared by November 7 • 25%
No Winner Announced • 25%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Other • 34%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other • 34%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other (Third-party candidate) • 25%
No clear winner by November 5 • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Candidate • 25%
No Clear Winner by Year-End • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other • 25%
Democratic Nominee • 33%
Republican Nominee • 33%
Third-party/Independent • 33%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Other • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%