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Who will win the 2024 Presidential election nationally?
5
Texas•Republican•Ted Cruz•Democratic•Colin Allred•Senate•Emerson•Cruz•Allred•Donald Trump•Kamala Harris•Florida•Trump•Harris•Nate Silver•Electoral College
Resolution / Starting Odds
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other Republican • 25%
Other Democrat • 25%
Official election results published by the Federal Election Commission (FEC)
Story
Ted Cruz Leads Colin Allred by 8 Points in Texas Senate Race, Trump Narrowly Ahead Nationally
Sep 8, 2024, 04:23 AM
Recent polling data reveals a tightening race in the 2024 U.S. Senate and presidential elections. In Texas, Republican incumbent Ted Cruz holds an 8-point lead over Democratic challenger Colin Allred in the Senate race, down from an 11-point lead in June. Another Emerson poll shows Cruz leading Allred by 4 points, 48% to 44%. In the presidential race, former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by 5 points in Texas, 49% to 44%, and by 1 point nationally, 48% to 47%, according to the latest New York Times/Siena College poll. Polls in key battleground states like Florida and Texas show Trump and Harris within the margin of error, indicating a highly competitive race. Nate Silver's forecast model gives Trump a 61.5% chance of winning the Electoral College, a significant increase from previous estimates.
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