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Who will win key battleground states in the 2024 presidential election?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Trump wins majority • 25%
Harris wins majority • 25%
Biden wins majority • 25%
Split results • 25%
Official election results from the Federal Election Commission and state election boards
Story
Trump Urges Votes in Honor of Victims, Harris Leads Iowa Poll by 3 Points
Nov 3, 2024, 09:45 PM
Former President Donald Trump has urged voters to cast their ballots in honor of victims he attributes to Vice President Kamala Harris's immigration policies. Trump specifically mentioned Kayla, Jocelyn, Laken Riley, and Rachel Morin, claiming they were affected by what he called an 'open border' policy. He asserted that his administration would end the 'migrant invasion' and begin restoring the country on his first day in office. Meanwhile, polls show a tight race between Trump and Harris, with Harris leading by 3 percentage points in Iowa and holding a significant lead among female and senior voters. An NBC News poll indicates that Trump leads among male voters. Both candidates are making last-minute efforts to sway undecided voters in key battleground states.
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Kamala Harris wins California • 25%
Donald Trump wins Texas • 25%
Kamala Harris wins Florida • 25%
Donald Trump wins Ohio • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Biden wins Pennsylvania • 17%
Biden wins Michigan • 17%
Trump wins Michigan • 17%
Biden wins Wisconsin • 17%
Trump wins Wisconsin • 17%
Harris wins Florida • 25%
Trump wins Florida • 25%
Harris wins Pennsylvania • 25%
Trump wins Pennsylvania • 25%
Trump wins majority • 33%
Harris wins majority • 33%
Split evenly • 34%
Kamala Harris wins majority of swing states • 25%
Donald Trump wins majority of swing states • 25%
Split evenly • 25%
Other candidate wins majority • 25%
Harris wins majority of battleground states • 25%
Trump wins majority of battleground states • 25%
Each wins an equal number of battleground states • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Donald Trump • 33%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Tie • 34%
Donald Trump • 33%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Tie • 34%
Split between multiple candidates • 34%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other • 25%
Tie/No clear winner • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%