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What will be the outcome of the battleground states in the 2024 Presidential Election?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Harris wins majority of battleground states • 25%
Trump wins majority of battleground states • 25%
Each wins an equal number of battleground states • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official election results for battleground states published by reputable sources such as the Associated Press or Reuters
Story
Harris Gains Lead Over Trump 47% to 42% Post-Debate, Reuters/Ipsos Poll Shows
Sep 12, 2024, 05:15 PM
In the aftermath of the first debate between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump, Harris has gained a lead in the polls. According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted on September 12, 2024, with a sample size of 1450, Harris leads Trump 47% to 42% among registered voters, with 53% of respondents believing Harris won the debate compared to 24% for Trump. Another poll shows Harris leading 52-47, a 1 percentage point increase from August. Harris' campaign has called for another debate, although Trump has expressed reluctance for a rematch. The debate has intensified efforts from both campaigns to secure battleground states ahead of the November 5 presidential election.
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Trump wins majority • 33%
Harris wins majority • 33%
Split evenly • 34%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Other • 25%
Trump wins majority • 25%
Harris wins majority • 25%
Biden wins majority • 25%
Split results • 25%
Donald Trump wins majority • 25%
Kamala Harris wins majority • 25%
Other candidate wins majority • 25%
Split decision • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other Democratic Candidate • 25%
Other Republican Candidate • 25%
Kamala Harris wins California • 25%
Donald Trump wins Texas • 25%
Kamala Harris wins Florida • 25%
Donald Trump wins Ohio • 25%
Donald Trump • 33%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Tie • 34%
Democratic Win • 25%
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Third Party Win • 25%
Other • 25%
Donald Trump • 33%
Kamala Harris • 33%
Tie • 34%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Other • 25%
Tie/No clear winner • 25%
Donald Trump • 33%
Joe Biden • 33%
Other • 34%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Nikki Haley • 25%
Kamala Harris wins more battleground states • 25%
Donald Trump wins more battleground states • 25%
Another Republican candidate wins more battleground states • 25%
Another Democratic candidate wins more battleground states • 25%