Loading...
Market
Who will lead Venezuela by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maduro remains President • 25%
Edmundo González becomes President • 25%
Another opposition leader becomes President • 25%
Military takeover • 25%
Official government announcements or credible media reports
Story
Maduro Sworn In Before Assembly for Third Term Until 2031 Amid Fraud Claims
Jan 10, 2025, 03:01 PM
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro was sworn in before the National Assembly on Friday for a third six-year term, extending his rule until 2031, despite widespread accusations of electoral fraud and international condemnation. The opposition, led by Edmundo González, who claims to have won the July 28, 2024 presidential election, has presented credible evidence of vote rigging and threatened to hold a rival inauguration in Caracas. Maduro proceeded with the ceremony without releasing the electoral records that would verify his victory. "I swear that this new presidential term will be a term of peace," Maduro declared during the inauguration. Protests erupted across the country, with thousands demonstrating on the eve of the ceremony. While facing criticism both domestically and internationally, Maduro retains the support of the military and key institutions in Venezuela.
View original story
Similar markets
Nicolás Maduro remains • 25%
Edmundo González takes over • 25%
Another opposition leader takes over • 25%
Military or interim government • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González takes office • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia • 25%
Other • 25%
Another opposition leader • 25%
Nicolas Maduro • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%
Other political figure • 25%
Edmundo González • 25%
Nicolás Maduro • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%
Edmundo González Urrutia • 25%
Leopoldo López • 25%
Other • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro replaced by ally • 25%
Opposition takes power • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Other • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%
Edmundo González • 25%
Henrique Capriles • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New elections held • 25%