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What leadership changes will occur within the Venezuelan government by the end of 2025?
2
United States•Venezuelan•Nicolás Maduro•Maduro•Diosdado Cabello•Vladimir Padrino López•PDVSA•CONVIASA
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Maduro replaced by ally • 25%
Opposition takes power • 25%
Military coup • 25%
Official announcements from the Venezuelan government or credible international news sources
Story
U.S. Raises Reward to $25 Million for Capturing Maduro, Imposes Sanctions Amid Disputed Third Term
Jan 10, 2025, 05:20 PM
The United States has elevated the reward for information leading to the arrest or conviction of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro from $15 million to $25 million. This announcement comes as Maduro is sworn in for a contested third six-year term, following elections that were widely disputed and criticized by the international community. In addition to Maduro, the U.S. has increased the reward for Diosdado Cabello, the Minister of the Interior and a key ally, to $25 million, and for Vladimir Padrino López, the Minister of Defense, to $15 million. The U.S. government, which does not recognize Maduro's presidency as legitimate, has also imposed new sanctions against officials linked to state institutions, including the state oil company PDVSA and the national airline CONVIASA, as part of a broader effort to pressure the Maduro regime.
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Maduro remains in power • 25%
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Military takes control • 25%
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Maduro remains President • 25%
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No significant changes • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
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Another opposition leader • 25%
Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia • 25%
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Maduro remains President • 25%
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González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%
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Edmundo González • 25%
Nicolás Maduro • 25%