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What will be the leadership status in Venezuela by end of 2025?
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Canada•Edmundo González Urrutia•Venezuela•Venezuelan•Canadian•Affairs•Mélanie Joly•Donald Trump•González Urrutia•Trump•Truth Social•Maria Corina Machado•Nicolás Maduro•Venezuelans•Maduro
Resolution / Starting Odds
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González takes office • 25%
Military takes control • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Official announcements from the Venezuelan government or credible news reports
Story
Canada and Trump Recognize Edmundo González as Venezuela's President-elect Amid Protests and Detention of Opposition Leader
Jan 9, 2025, 11:09 PM
Canada has officially recognized Edmundo González Urrutia as the President-elect of Venezuela, reaffirming its support for the Venezuelan opposition. The Canadian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mélanie Joly, confirmed the recognition following Venezuela's presidential elections held on July 28. Meanwhile, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump also recognized González Urrutia as Venezuela's President-elect, emphasizing that the Venezuelan-American community overwhelmingly supports a free Venezuela. Trump's statements on Truth Social came after the brief detention and subsequent release of opposition leader and democracy activist Maria Corina Machado on January 9, 2025, by forces loyal to President Nicolás Maduro. Trump warned that these "freedom fighters should not be harmed and must stay safe and alive", expressing support for the hundreds of thousands of Venezuelans demonstrating against the Maduro regime. Edmundo González Urrutia expressed gratitude to Trump for his support, acknowledging the U.S. backing for their cause.
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Other outcome • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Nicolas Maduro • 25%
Other • 25%
Another opposition leader • 25%
Edmundo Gonzalez Urrutia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
New elections called • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Other political figure • 25%
Nicolás Maduro • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%
Edmundo González • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%
Leopoldo López • 25%
Edmundo González Urrutia • 25%
Other • 25%
González Urrutia assumes presidency • 25%
Ongoing political stalemate • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains in power • 25%
Edmundo González assumes presidency • 25%
Power-sharing agreement reached • 25%
Maduro confirmed as President • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González confirmed as President • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%