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How will the Venezuelan presidential dispute be resolved by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
González Urrutia recognized as President • 25%
Maduro remains President • 25%
New elections called • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official announcements or agreements recognized by international bodies or major news outlets.
Story
Venezuela Offers $100,000 Reward for Capture of Opposition Leader Edmundo González Urrutia Amid Election Dispute
Jan 3, 2025, 12:56 AM
Venezuela's government has announced a $100,000 reward for information leading to the capture of Edmundo González Urrutia, an opposition leader who claims to have defeated President Nicolás Maduro in the presidential election held on July 28 of the previous year. González Urrutia, accused of conspiracy, money laundering, and inciting unrest, fled to Spain in September and has been granted political asylum there. He plans to return to Venezuela on January 10 to assume the presidency, coinciding with Maduro's scheduled inauguration for his third term.
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Other resolution • 25%
González Urrutia recognized as president • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Maduro confirmed as President • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
González confirmed as President • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Edmundo González becomes president • 25%
Nicolás Maduro remains president • 25%
Ongoing political stalemate • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
González Urrutia assumes presidency • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
González assumes presidency • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
New elections held • 25%
Maduro remains in power • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
New elections announced • 25%
Other • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Recognition of González Urrutia • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro's government • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Calls for new elections • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
Other organization • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Both recognized • 25%
González Urrutia recognized • 25%
Maduro recognized • 25%
Neither recognized • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Mediation efforts • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No clear majority recognition • 25%
González recognized by majority • 25%
Maduro recognized by majority • 25%