Loading...
Market
Who will control the Tishrin Dam area in Northern Syria by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by SDF • 25%
Under joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from Syrian Observatory for Human Rights and other conflict monitors
Story
Turkey Rejects U.S. Ceasefire Claim, Denies Truce with SDF in Northern Syria
Dec 19, 2024, 09:06 AM
Turkish defense officials have denied reports of a ceasefire in northern Syria between Turkey and the US-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), stating there is "no agreement on truce" and that Turkey does not negotiate with terrorist organizations, suggesting that the U.S. statement was a "slip of the tongue." They emphasized that Turkey will continue preventive measures against terrorist groups and will press until the Kurdish militias lay down their arms. Clashes and mutual shelling have been reported between the SDF and Turkish-backed factions around the Tishrin Dam area in the eastern Aleppo countryside. The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported heavy fighting near the dam and in Manbij.
View original story
Similar markets
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by YPG • 25%
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
YPG • 25%
Other Kurdish groups • 25%
Other factions • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
SDF gains control • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
Türkiye gains control • 25%
SDF retains control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Syrian Opposition • 25%
Kurdish Groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebels gain significant control • 25%
Government regains control • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Syrian rebels • 25%
Shared control • 25%
Other • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Rebels take control • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%