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What will be the control status of key territories in northern Syria by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Türkiye gains control • 25%
SDF retains control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and local sources
Story
White House Recognizes Türkiye's Role in Syria, Ceasefire with SDF Extended to Week's End
Dec 17, 2024, 06:30 PM
The White House has acknowledged Türkiye's significant role in the future of Syria, with National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby stating that Türkiye is a key actor in any outcome related to the country. The U.S. has been engaging with Türkiye at various levels, recognizing their legitimate concerns about the terrorist threat along their border with Syria. Additionally, the U.S. State Department announced that a ceasefire between Türkiye and the U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) in northern Syria has been extended until the end of the week. This extension aims to maintain peace in the region, particularly in the Manbij area, where efforts have been made to reach a ceasefire.
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SDF gains control • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rebels gain significant control • 25%
Government regains control • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Turkey gains more control • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by YPG • 25%
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
YPG • 25%
Other Kurdish groups • 25%
Other factions • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by Turkey-backed forces • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by YPG/DEAŞ forces • 25%
Remains contested • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
Remains under current control • 25%
Under IDF control • 25%
Under Syrian government control • 25%
Under other forces' control • 25%
Returned to Syrian government control • 25%
Remain under Turkish influence • 25%
Controlled by local Syrian groups • 25%
Other status • 25%