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What will be the control status of Syrian territory by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Rebels gain significant control • 25%
Government regains control • 25%
Stalemate continues • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies and international observers
Story
Russia Has No Plan to Save Assad; Embassy Advises Citizens to Leave
Dec 6, 2024, 02:55 PM
According to multiple reports citing sources close to the Kremlin, including Bloomberg, Russia currently does not have a plan to assist Syrian President Bashar al-Assad amid recent developments in Syria. The reports indicate that Russia does not foresee a plan emerging as long as the Syrian army continues to abandon its positions. Despite this, Russia has reportedly used warplanes to strike rebel positions during their rapid advance, although there has been no clear pronouncement of support for the Syrian government. Some sources mention that the Russian embassy in Damascus has advised Russian citizens to leave the country. Russia is said to be evaluating the situation in Syria, and further discussions on the extent of aid needed may occur after the assessment is complete.
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Türkiye gains control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
SDF retains control • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Under IDF control • 25%
Remains under current control • 25%
Under Syrian government control • 25%
Under other forces' control • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
SDF gains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Coalition forces • 25%
HTS • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Other rebel groups • 25%
Syrian Opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Kurdish Groups • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Rebels control majority of major cities • 25%
No clear control in major cities • 25%
Government controls all major cities • 25%
Control is evenly split • 25%
Government retains partial control • 25%
Government regains full control • 25%
Government loses control • 25%
Government control unchanged • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased territorial control • 25%
Decreased territorial control • 25%
Loss of major cities • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased opposition control • 25%
Increased government control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
PKK/YPG gains control • 25%