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Who will control northern Syria by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by YPG • 25%
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
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Hakan Fidan: Turkey Warns Syria to Disband Kurdish YPG by December 22 or Face Military Action for National Security
Dec 22, 2024, 02:50 AM
Turkey's Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has issued a stern warning to Syria's new government regarding the Kurdish militia, specifically the YPG, which Turkey associates with the PKK, a designated terrorist organization. Fidan stated that if the Syrian administration fails to disband the YPG and address Ankara's security concerns, Turkey will take necessary military action to ensure its national security. This declaration underscores Turkey's ongoing tensions with Kurdish groups in the region, which it views as a direct threat. Fidan emphasized that Turkey would do 'whatever it takes' to secure its interests if the situation is not resolved.
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Syrian government • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
YPG • 25%
Other Kurdish groups • 25%
Other factions • 25%
SDF gains control • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
Türkiye gains control • 25%
SDF retains control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
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Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Iranian-backed militias • 25%
Other groups • 25%
Government retains control • 25%
Rebels control major cities • 25%
Equal control/shared control • 25%
International peacekeepers deployed • 25%
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Turkey gains more control • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%