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Who will control northeastern Syria by the end of 2025 due to Turkish actions?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Turkey Gains Control • 25%
Kurdish YPG Retains Control • 25%
Syrian Government Gains Control • 25%
Other Entity Gains Control • 25%
Reports from international observers and credible news agencies
Story
Turkey's Hakan Fidan Threatens Military Action Against Kurdish YPG in Northeastern Syria
Jan 7, 2025, 06:42 PM
Turkey's Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has announced that Turkey is prepared to launch a military operation against the Kurdish YPG militia in northeastern Syria if the group fails to comply with Ankara's demands. Fidan stated that the new Syrian administration is expected to address the issue of Kurdish militants in the region, though it may take time. Additionally, Turkey is ready to take over the management of ISIS prisons and camps in northeastern Syria if the new Syrian leadership is unable to do so. Fidan emphasized that Turkey does not seek to dominate or influence Syria, but rather aims for a bilateral relationship based on mutual equality.
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Other • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Kurdish Forces • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
ISIS or other extremist groups • 25%
Other factions • 25%
YPG • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Other Kurdish groups • 25%
Controlled by Turkey • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by YPG • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
YPG retains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Partial control • 25%
Stable control • 25%
Conflict escalation • 25%
Loss of control • 25%
PKK/YPG regain control • 25%
Other groups gain control • 25%
Turkey gains more control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Syrian government forces • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Other groups • 25%
Iranian-backed militias • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
SDF gains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Returned to Syrian government control • 25%
Other status • 25%
Controlled by local Syrian groups • 25%
Remain under Turkish influence • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%