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Market
How will the Syrian leadership respond to Turkey's ISIS prison management offer by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepts Turkey's Offer • 25%
Rejects Turkey's Offer • 25%
Proposes Alternative Solution • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Official announcements from the Syrian government or international news reports
Story
Turkey's Hakan Fidan Threatens Military Action Against Kurdish YPG in Northeastern Syria
Jan 7, 2025, 06:42 PM
Turkey's Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has announced that Turkey is prepared to launch a military operation against the Kurdish YPG militia in northeastern Syria if the group fails to comply with Ankara's demands. Fidan stated that the new Syrian administration is expected to address the issue of Kurdish militants in the region, though it may take time. Additionally, Turkey is ready to take over the management of ISIS prisons and camps in northeastern Syria if the new Syrian leadership is unable to do so. Fidan emphasized that Turkey does not seek to dominate or influence Syria, but rather aims for a bilateral relationship based on mutual equality.
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No change in management • 25%
Turkey assumes management • 25%
New Syrian leadership manages • 25%
International coalition manages • 25%
Accepted by another country • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rejected by all • 25%
Accepted by US • 25%
Other response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation of actions • 25%
Cooperative response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Positive response with cooperation • 25%
Other • 25%
No action • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Welcoming and cooperative • 25%
Cautious but accepting • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No significant change • 25%
YPG disbands • 25%
Negotiations lead to a compromise • 25%
YPG does not disband, military operation initiated • 25%
Diplomatic pressure but no sanctions • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Joint action by Syria and Turkey • 25%
Syria takes action independently • 25%
Turkey intervenes militarily • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%