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Which group will have the most influence in northern Syria by May 31, 2025?
2
Syria•Iraq•Syrian army•Syrian•Popular Mobilization Forces•Hashd al Shaabi•Kataib Hezbollah•Fatemiyoun
Resolution / Starting Odds
Syrian government forces • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Iranian-backed militias • 25%
Other groups • 25%
Reports from conflict analysis organizations and news agencies
Story
Thousands of Iranian-Backed Fighters Enter Syria from Iraq to Bolster Syrian Army Against Rebels
Dec 2, 2024, 07:27 AM
Iranian-backed militias have entered Syria from Iraq to support the Syrian army in its fight against insurgents. According to Syrian military sources, thousands of fighters from groups including the Popular Mobilization Forces (Hashd al Shaabi), Kataib Hezbollah, and Fatemiyoun crossed into Syria via the Al-Bukamal border crossing. The reinforcements, which include armored vehicles and drones, aim to bolster beleaguered Syrian forces battling rebels in the northern regions, where the army has been retreating after losing strongholds. Iraq has closed its border to facilitate the departure of additional fighters into Syria.
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YPG retains control • 25%
Syrian government regains control • 25%
Turkey gains control • 25%
Control remains contested • 25%
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Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by other factions • 25%
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PKK/YPG • 25%
Syrian National Army • 25%
Other • 25%
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SDF gains control • 25%
Turkish-backed forces gain control • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebel forces • 25%
Iran-backed groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Turkey-backed groups • 25%
US-backed groups • 25%
Controlled by rebel groups • 25%
Controlled by new Syrian government • 25%
Controlled by foreign powers • 25%
Mixed control • 25%
Controlled by Kurdish forces • 25%
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Other/Unclear control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Türkiye gains control • 25%
Joint control established • 25%
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