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Which side will control the majority of the Kursk region by October 15, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Russia • 33%
Ukraine • 33%
Neither • 33%
Official statements from the Russian or Ukrainian governments, verified by independent news sources
Story
Russia Concentrates 40,000 Troops in Kursk Region Amid Ukrainian Incursion, Zelenskyy Says
Sep 20, 2024, 02:01 AM
Russia has concentrated a significant number of troops in the Kursk region amid ongoing conflicts with Ukraine. According to RBC-Ukraine, approximately 37,000 Russian soldiers have been deployed with the objective of pushing out Ukrainian forces from the region by October 15 and establishing a buffer zone by October 30. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that the Ukrainian incursion has successfully drawn about 40,000 Russian troops to the Kursk front. This redeployment indicates a strategic shift in the conflict, as Russia pulls 40,000 troops from other areas to counter Ukraine's expanding positions in the Kursk region, Zelenskyy says.
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Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Joint control • 25%
No clear control • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Both control equal areas • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Russian Forces • 25%
Ukrainian Forces • 25%
Split Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian Forces • 25%
Ukrainian Forces • 25%
Mixed Control • 25%
Other • 25%
No clear control • 34%
Ukraine • 33%
Russia • 33%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Both (contested) • 33%
Russia retains control • 33%
Ukraine regains control • 33%
Stalemate with no significant change • 34%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Third Party • 25%
No Control • 25%
Russian Forces • 25%
Ukrainian Forces • 25%
Mixed Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Split control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Joint Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian control • 25%
Ukrainian control • 25%
Contested control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine controls more territory • 25%
Russia controls more territory • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 33%
Russia • 33%
Contested • 34%