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What will be the outcome of the Ukrainian incursion in the Kursk region by October 30, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful for Ukraine • 25%
Successful for Russia • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Russian or Ukrainian governments, verified by independent news sources
Story
Russia Concentrates 40,000 Troops in Kursk Region Amid Ukrainian Incursion, Zelenskyy Says
Sep 20, 2024, 02:01 AM
Russia has concentrated a significant number of troops in the Kursk region amid ongoing conflicts with Ukraine. According to RBC-Ukraine, approximately 37,000 Russian soldiers have been deployed with the objective of pushing out Ukrainian forces from the region by October 15 and establishing a buffer zone by October 30. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that the Ukrainian incursion has successfully drawn about 40,000 Russian troops to the Kursk front. This redeployment indicates a strategic shift in the conflict, as Russia pulls 40,000 troops from other areas to counter Ukraine's expanding positions in the Kursk region, Zelenskyy says.
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Ukrainian forces withdraw completely • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain current positions • 25%
Ukrainian forces advance further • 25%
Ukrainian forces are repelled further into Ukraine • 25%
Ukraine controls Kursk • 25%
Russia retains control of Kursk • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Ceasefire in Kursk region • 25%
Ukrainian forces hold captured territory • 25%
Russian forces recapture all territory • 25%
Stalemate with contested areas • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine maintains control over parts of Kursk • 25%
Russia regains full control • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine maintains control • 25%
Russia retakes all lost territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Mutual withdrawal under a ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian forces successfully hold territory • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian forces • 25%
Stalemate with ongoing skirmishes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia regains control • 25%
Stalemate/No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukrainian forces maintain control • 25%
Russian forces reclaim control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine gains significant territory • 25%
Ukraine consolidates minor gains • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Russia regains lost territory • 25%
Ukrainian forces gain significant territory • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Russian forces repel Ukrainian offensive • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Ukraine retains control of captured territories • 25%
Russia reclaims all territories • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%