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Which side will control the most territory in Kursk region by December 31, 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Both control equal areas • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official reports from Ukrainian and Russian military, verified by independent news agencies (e.g., Reuters, BBC)
Story
Ukrainian Forces Advance 2 km, Control 5 sq km in Kursk; Russia Responds
Aug 30, 2024, 12:11 PM
Ukraine's army chief, Oleksandr Syrsky, reported that Ukrainian forces have made significant advances in Russia's Kursk region. In the past 24 hours, Ukrainian forces advanced up to 2 kilometers and took control of 5 square kilometers of territory. This incursion has led to the redeployment of approximately 30,000 Russian troops. Ukrainian forces now control 100 towns and villages across 1,294 square kilometers. Russian authorities are responding by creating new volunteer territorial defense units.
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Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Joint control • 25%
No clear control • 25%
Russia • 33%
Ukraine • 33%
Neither • 33%
Russian Forces • 25%
Ukrainian Forces • 25%
Split Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian Forces • 25%
Ukrainian Forces • 25%
Mixed Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 33%
Russia • 33%
Contested • 34%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Split control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Third Party • 25%
No Control • 25%
Russian Forces • 25%
Ukrainian Forces • 25%
Mixed Control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine controls more than 60% • 25%
Russia controls more than 60% • 25%
Control remains approximately equal • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Russian control • 25%
Ukrainian control • 25%
Contested control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine controls more territory • 25%
Russia controls more territory • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Russia • 25%
Joint Control • 25%
Other • 25%
No clear control • 34%
Ukraine • 33%
Russia • 33%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Both (contested) • 33%
Russia retains control • 33%
Ukraine regains control • 33%
Stalemate with no significant change • 34%