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Which regions will engage with Grenell on Iran by Dec 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
European Union • 25%
Middle Eastern countries • 25%
Russia/China • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements or credible news sources reporting on diplomatic engagements
Story
Trump Considers Former Intelligence Chief Grenell for Iran Envoy Role
Dec 12, 2024, 02:45 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is considering appointing Richard Grenell, his former intelligence chief who also served as the U.S. Ambassador to Germany and Acting Director of National Intelligence, as a special envoy for Iran. Grenell's potential role would involve engaging with regional and international stakeholders on Iran-related issues, according to sources familiar with the transition plans. No final decisions have been made regarding personnel or strategy concerning Iran.
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European Union • 25%
Middle Eastern countries • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Russia, Ukraine, USA • 25%
Russia, Ukraine, USA, EU • 25%
Russia, Ukraine, USA, China • 25%
Other combination • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
UK • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S., EU, Russia, China • 25%
U.S., EU only • 25%
U.S., Russia, China only • 25%
Other combinations • 25%
Appointed as envoy • 25%
Not appointed, remains in another role • 25%
Not appointed, exits government service • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
USA • 25%
EU • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Other • 25%
US, EU, Russia, China • 25%
US, EU only • 25%
Russia, China only • 25%
Other combination • 25%