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Which organization will be identified as responsible for AR-924 pager explosions by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Gold Apollo • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Official investigations, news reports, and announcements
Story
Gold Apollo Denies Making AR-924 Pagers Used in Lebanon and Syria Explosions, Points to Hungary
Sep 18, 2024, 08:53 AM
Taiwanese company Gold Apollo has denied manufacturing the AR-924 pagers that exploded in Lebanon and Syria on Tuesday, stating that the devices were made by BAC Consulting KFT, a company based in Budapest, Hungary. The pagers, which carried the Gold Apollo brand, were involved in simultaneous detonations targeting Hezbollah's communications network. Gold Apollo's founder, Hsu Ching-Kuang, emphasized that the production of these devices had been outsourced to the Hungarian firm, which was licensed to use Gold Apollo's brand. The explosions resulted in multiple casualties, including at least twelve deaths and thousands of injuries.
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Gold Apollo • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT • 25%
A third-party entity • 25%
No entity found responsible • 25%
Gold Apollo • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Hsu Ching-Kuang • 25%
A BAC Consulting KFT executive • 25%
A third-party individual • 25%
No individual held responsible • 25%
Gold Apollo found responsible • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT found responsible • 25%
Both companies found responsible • 25%
Neither company found responsible • 25%
Both companies equally • 25%
Gold Apollo • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT • 25%
Neither company • 25%
Confirmed Israeli involvement • 25%
Confirmed internal Hezbollah issue • 25%
Inconclusive results • 25%
No official investigation report • 25%
Gold Apollo found responsible • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT found responsible • 25%
Both companies found responsible • 25%
Neither company found responsible • 25%
Gold Apollo fined • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT fined • 25%
Both companies fined • 25%
No fines issued • 25%
0-5 additional casualties • 25%
6-10 additional casualties • 25%
11-15 additional casualties • 25%
More than 15 additional casualties • 25%
Gold Apollo • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT • 25%
Both • 25%
Neither • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Sanctions against Hezbollah • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%