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Market
Which country will first officially respond to AR-924 pager explosions by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lebanon • 25%
Syria • 25%
Taiwan • 25%
Hungary • 25%
Official government statements, news reports
Story
Gold Apollo Denies Making AR-924 Pagers Used in Lebanon and Syria Explosions, Points to Hungary
Sep 18, 2024, 08:53 AM
Taiwanese company Gold Apollo has denied manufacturing the AR-924 pagers that exploded in Lebanon and Syria on Tuesday, stating that the devices were made by BAC Consulting KFT, a company based in Budapest, Hungary. The pagers, which carried the Gold Apollo brand, were involved in simultaneous detonations targeting Hezbollah's communications network. Gold Apollo's founder, Hsu Ching-Kuang, emphasized that the production of these devices had been outsourced to the Hungarian firm, which was licensed to use Gold Apollo's brand. The explosions resulted in multiple casualties, including at least twelve deaths and thousands of injuries.
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Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Sanctions against Hezbollah • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
France • 25%
China • 25%
Israel • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Hungary • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions on BAC Consulting • 25%
Sanctions on Hungary • 25%
Sanctions on both BAC Consulting and Hungary • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
0 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-5 • 25%
More than 5 • 25%
Gold Apollo • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT • 25%
A third-party entity • 25%
No entity found responsible • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation statements • 25%
Military aid to Lebanon • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Sanctions against Hezbollah • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic condemnations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Gold Apollo found responsible • 25%
BAC Consulting KFT found responsible • 25%
Both companies found responsible • 25%
Neither company found responsible • 25%
Mossad (Israel) • 25%
CIA (USA) • 25%
GRU (Russia) • 25%
Other • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Sanctions against Hezbollah • 25%
Sanctions against another group • 25%
No sanctions • 25%