Loading...
Market
Which country will resolve trade disputes with the US by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mexico • 25%
Canada • 25%
China • 25%
None • 25%
Official trade agreements or announcements from relevant governments
Story
Trump to Impose 25% Tariffs on Mexico, Canada, and China on First Day in Office
Nov 26, 2024, 01:12 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to impose new tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China as soon as he assumes office. These measures are part of his strategy to address illegal immigration and drug trafficking, particularly targeting the flow of fentanyl. Trump's threats include a 25% tariff on all goods from Canada and Mexico, aiming to force immediate compliance from these countries to prevent the tariffs from taking effect.
View original story
Similar markets
Mexico • 25%
Canada • 25%
China • 25%
None • 25%
Diplomatic Resolution • 25%
Retaliatory Measures by Canada • 25%
U.S. Withdraws Tariffs • 25%
No Resolution • 25%
Tensions escalate • 25%
Negotiated resolution • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ruling in favor of China • 25%
Ruling in favor of Canada • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Proceedings ongoing • 25%
China • 25%
European Union • 25%
Mexico • 25%
Other • 25%
EU wins case • 25%
U.S. wins case • 25%
Case settled mutually • 25%
Case withdrawn • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Hong Kong • 25%
Other • 25%
EU increases energy purchases • 25%
U.S. imposes tariffs • 25%
Negotiations lead to compromise • 25%
No significant change • 25%
