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Which app will be the most downloaded in the U.S. App Store if TikTok is banned by January 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Xiaohongshu (RedNote) • 25%
Lemon8 • 25%
Instagram • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. App Store download rankings
Story
Supreme Court Likely to Uphold TikTok Ban Unless ByteDance Sells App by January 19
Jan 13, 2025, 03:01 PM
The U.S. Supreme Court appears poised to uphold a federal law that could ban TikTok in the United States beginning January 19 unless the app is sold by its China-based parent company, ByteDance. The justices heard oral arguments on Friday, expressing skepticism toward TikTok's challenge against the ban due to national security concerns. President-elect Donald Trump recently asked the court to uphold the ban. Some justices referred to TikTok as a 'website' and showed little concern for how the ban would affect its 170 million regular U.S. users. In response to the potential ban, users are migrating to alternative apps like Xiaohongshu (RedNote) and Lemon8, both of which have surged to the top of the U.S. App Store downloads.
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Other • 25%
Instagram Reels • 25%
YouTube Shorts • 25%
Snapchat Spotlight • 25%
Instagram Reels • 25%
Other platform • 25%
Snapchat Spotlight • 25%
YouTube Shorts • 25%
Instagram Reels • 25%
Snapchat Spotlight • 25%
YouTube Shorts • 25%
Other • 25%
YouTube Shorts • 25%
Instagram Reels • 25%
Other • 25%
Xiaohongshu (RedNote) • 25%
Other platform • 25%
Snapchat • 25%
Instagram • 25%
YouTube Shorts • 25%
Snapchat • 25%
Instagram • 25%
Other • 25%
YouTube • 25%
Instagram • 25%
Other platforms • 25%
Snapchat • 25%
YouTube • 25%
Removed from Apple only • 25%
Removed from both stores • 25%
Not removed from either store • 25%
Removed from Google only • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Increase in Instagram Users • 25%
No Significant Shift • 25%
Increase in Snapchat Users • 25%
Increase in YouTube Shorts Users • 25%
Sold to another company • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Lemon8 • 25%
Twitch • 25%
Fanbase • 25%
RedNote • 25%