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Market
Platform with largest U.S. user increase if TikTok banned by May 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Instagram • 25%
Snapchat • 25%
YouTube Shorts • 25%
Other platform • 25%
User statistics from credible social media analytics firms or reports
Story
Trump Supports TikTok, Considers Reviewing Ban Set for January 19 After Winning Youth by 34 Points
Dec 16, 2024, 04:45 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has expressed a favorable view of TikTok, stating he has a 'warm spot in my heart' for the platform. During a recent press interaction, Trump indicated that he would consider reviewing the impending ban on TikTok, which is set to be implemented on January 19. He attributed part of his electoral success to the app, claiming he won the youth vote by 34 points and suggesting that TikTok played a role in engaging younger voters. Trump's comments have raised speculation regarding the likelihood of the ban being lifted, with some analysts suggesting that the odds of a TikTok ban before May have decreased following his remarks.
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Similar markets
Instagram • 25%
YouTube • 25%
Snapchat • 25%
Other platforms • 25%
Support the ban • 25%
Oppose the ban • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
No statement • 25%
Facebook • 25%
Twitter • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant decrease • 25%
Moderate decrease • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase • 25%
Threads • 25%
BlueSky • 25%
Mastodon • 25%
Other • 25%
YouTube Shorts • 25%
TikTok • 25%
Instagram Reels • 25%
Snapchat Spotlight • 25%
Significant migration to alternative platforms • 25%
Protests or legal action by users • 25%
Minimal impact on user base • 25%
Other significant reactions • 25%
Continues operations without changes • 25%
Divests from ByteDance • 25%
Banned in the U.S. • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Non-China owner found • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban prevented by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
YouTube • 25%
Instagram • 25%
Snapchat • 25%
Other • 25%
Over 170 million • 25%
150-170 million • 25%
100-150 million • 25%
Less than 100 million • 25%
