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What will be TikTok's operational status in Canada by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully operational • 25%
Partially operational • 25%
Shutdown • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from TikTok and Canadian government, media reports
Story
TikTok Challenges Canadian Shutdown Order Amid National Security Concerns
Dec 11, 2024, 12:29 PM
TikTok's Canadian arm has filed a legal challenge against a government order to shut down its operations in the country. The challenge comes as the Canadian government, through its Minister of Innovation, Science and Industry, has deemed TikTok a national security risk. TikTok argues against the shutdown, stating it contributed nearly USD33 billion to the US GDP last year and has 170 million US users. The company has also filed an emergency injunction to prevent a similar ban from taking effect in the US on January 19.
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Operations continue as is • 25%
Operations significantly reduced • 25%
Operations fully ceased • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Operational without restrictions • 25%
Operational with restrictions • 25%
Banned • 25%
Other status • 25%
Fully operational with new owner • 25%
Operational under current ownership • 25%
Partially operational with restrictions • 25%
Not operational • 25%
Ban halted • 25%
Non-China owner found • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban prevented by Trump • 25%
ByteDance divests • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Acquired by US-based company • 25%
Acquired by non-US, non-China-based company • 25%
Remains under current ownership • 25%
Operations cease in the US • 25%
Sold to US company • 25%
Sold to non-US company • 25%
Remains under ByteDance • 25%
Banned in US • 25%
Continues in both U.S. and Canada • 25%
Only in U.S. • 25%
Only in Canada • 25%
Banned in both • 25%