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What will be the U.S. government's next action regarding ByteDance apps by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Further bans on ByteDance apps • 25%
Relaxation of current bans • 25%
No change • 25%
Other action • 25%
Official announcements from U.S. government or news outlets
Story
Marvel Snap Banned in U.S. on January 19, 2025, Due to ByteDance Connection
Jan 19, 2025, 08:57 AM
The popular digital card game Marvel Snap has been banned in the United States due to its connection to ByteDance, the parent company of TikTok. The ban, which took effect on January 19, 2025, was a result of a U.S. law aimed at prohibiting apps owned by ByteDance unless they were divested. Marvel Snap, developed by Second Dinner and published by ByteDance's Nuverse, was unexpectedly affected by this law, leading to its removal from U.S. app stores and making it unavailable for play within the country. Second Dinner expressed surprise at the takedown and stated they are working to restore the game's availability as soon as possible.
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Similar markets
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
No action • 25%
Allow with restrictions • 25%
Ban Lifted • 25%
Ban Implemented • 25%
Conditional Operation Allowed • 25%
No Decision Made • 25%
Unrestricted Operation • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Permanent Ban • 25%
Temporary Allowance • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Divestment from TikTok • 25%
Complete withdrawal from U.S. market • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Implement restrictions • 25%
Promote TikTok • 25%
No action • 25%
No further bans • 25%
Ban on all ByteDance apps • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Ban on some ByteDance apps • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban upheld • 25%
Banned • 25%
Under New Ownership • 25%
Allowed to Operate • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Other action • 25%
Enforces ban • 25%
Negotiates new ownership • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Lifts ban • 25%
Allow TikTok without changes • 25%
Require divestment • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Sells TikTok to a non-China-based company • 25%
Permanently shuts down TikTok in the U.S. • 25%
Continues operations without compliance • 25%
Negotiates a delay or solution with U.S. government • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other action • 25%
Opposes the ban • 25%
Supports the ban • 25%