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What will be the status of the frontline in Southern Donbass by the end of 2024?
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Pokrovsk•Russian•Russia•Ukraine•George Llewellyn•The Spectator•Southern Donbass•Bakhmut•Abdeevka•Responsible Statecraft
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stable with Ukrainian control • 25%
Stable with Russian control • 25%
Frequent shifts • 25%
Other • 25%
Verified news reports from reputable sources such as The Spectator, BBC, or Reuters
Story
Capture of Pokrovsk Could Shift Donbass Control to Russia Before the Election
Sep 7, 2024, 07:19 AM
The capture of Pokrovsk by Russian forces is seen as a pivotal moment in the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine. According to George Llewellyn, a journalist from The Spectator who recently visited the city, the fall of Pokrovsk would be a significant blow to Ukraine and could lead to the collapse of the frontlines before the election. The city’s fall would enable Russia to control almost all of Southern Donbass and potentially strike further to the north or east. The situation in Pokrovsk is reported to be more fragile than other contested areas such as Bakhmut or Abdeevka. Responsible Statecraft also highlighted the potential disaster for Ukraine if Pokrovsk falls.
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