Loading...
Market
What will be the military control status of Luhansk by the end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Remains under Russian control • 25%
Captured by Ukrainian forces • 25%
Control disputed • 25%
Under control of a third party • 25%
Verified news reports from reputable sources such as Reuters, BBC, or official military statements
Story
Ukrainian Forces Strike Luhansk with US-Made ATACMS Missile on Friday Morning
Jul 19, 2024, 08:44 AM
This morning, the Ukrainian Armed Forces targeted the southeastern part of Luhansk, specifically the area near the Military Aviation School, with a US-made MGM-140 ATACMS tactical ballistic missile. The strike, which occurred on Friday morning, resulted in a massive fire in Luhansk. Remains of the missile were found in the Russia-controlled city following the strike. Reports indicate that the missile was shot down by air defense forces near Luhansk, and fragments of the missile, including identifiable markings, were recovered.
View original story
Similar markets
Remains under Russian control • 25%
Partially reclaimed by Ukraine • 25%
Fully reclaimed by Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian control • 25%
Ukrainian control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Remains under Ukrainian control • 25%
Falls under Russian control • 25%
Becomes contested territory • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Missile strike • 25%
Ground assault • 25%
Drone strike • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Joint control • 25%
Other • 25%
Ukraine regains control over Crimea • 25%
Russia gains control over additional territories • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other significant territorial changes • 25%
Russia retains current territories • 25%
Ukraine regains some territories • 25%
Territorial changes agreed upon • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Ukraine retains control • 25%
Russia retakes control • 25%
Town becomes a demilitarized zone • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Russia gains more territory • 25%
Ukraine gains more territory • 25%
Territory changes hands multiple times • 25%
Ukrainian forces regain control • 25%
Russian forces maintain control • 25%
Stalemate/No significant change • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%