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What will be the status of Israeli forces in Gaza at the end of the 60-day ceasefire by February 10, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Increase in presence • 25%
Official statements from the Israeli government, confirmed by international news agencies
Story
Hamas Agrees to 60-Day Ceasefire with Israeli Forces Remaining in Gaza
Dec 12, 2024, 08:00 AM
Hamas has reportedly agreed to a ceasefire deal that would allow Israeli forces to remain temporarily in Gaza, marking a significant shift in its stance. The Wall Street Journal reports that this concession was communicated to mediators, raising hopes for a hostage deal. The agreement includes a 60-day ceasefire period during which up to 30 hostages, including US citizens, could be released. This development comes amidst ongoing conflict and previous failed negotiations, with both Israel and Hamas considering this latest proposal.
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Full Israeli control • 25%
Partial Israeli control • 25%
Return to pre-October 7 status quo • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire with terms agreed • 25%
Temporary truce without formal agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Significant reduction in Hamas infrastructure • 25%
Continuation of current conflict • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Escalation of conflict • 25%
Ceasefire deal reached and implemented • 25%
Ceasefire deal reached but not implemented • 25%
Ceasefire deal not reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%