Loading...
Market
Will at least 30 hostages be released during the 60-day ceasefire by February 10, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements from the Israeli government or Hamas, verified news reports from reputable sources like BBC, CNN, or Al Jazeera
Story
Hamas Agrees to 60-Day Ceasefire with Israeli Forces Remaining in Gaza
Dec 12, 2024, 08:00 AM
Hamas has reportedly agreed to a ceasefire deal that would allow Israeli forces to remain temporarily in Gaza, marking a significant shift in its stance. The Wall Street Journal reports that this concession was communicated to mediators, raising hopes for a hostage deal. The agreement includes a 60-day ceasefire period during which up to 30 hostages, including US citizens, could be released. This development comes amidst ongoing conflict and previous failed negotiations, with both Israel and Hamas considering this latest proposal.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
20 hostages • 25%
25 hostages • 25%
30 hostages • 25%
35 hostages • 25%
20 hostages • 25%
25 hostages • 25%
30 hostages • 25%
35 hostages • 25%
0-10 • 25%
11-50 • 25%
51-100 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All hostages released • 25%
Some hostages released • 25%
No hostages released • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
All hostages • 25%
More than half but not all • 25%
Less than half • 25%
None • 25%