Loading...
Market
What will be the state of U.S.-China relations regarding cyberattacks by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
Official government statements and major news outlets
Story
U.S. Offers $10 Million Reward for Chinese Hacker Guan Tianfeng Linked to April 2020 Cyberattacks on 81,000 Sophos Firewalls
Dec 11, 2024, 10:13 AM
The United States has announced a $10 million reward for information leading to the arrest of Guan Tianfeng, a Chinese national implicated in a significant cyberattack that compromised critical domestic infrastructure. The announcement comes alongside sanctions against a Chinese cybersecurity firm and one of its employees, following cyberattacks that occurred in April 2020. A federal court has unsealed an indictment charging Guan with conspiracy to exploit vulnerabilities in 81,000 Sophos firewalls, which allowed unauthorized access to sensitive data and targeted U.S. infrastructure. The U.S. government has emphasized the seriousness of these cyber threats, particularly in light of the potential risks posed by such attacks on essential services.
View original story
Similar markets
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Resolution Reached • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other measures • 25%
Diplomatic dialogue initiated • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
No official talks • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
New trade agreement • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%