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Outcome of U.S.-China cybersecurity negotiations by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
Official announcements from U.S. or Chinese government agencies
Story
Symantec: China-Based Threat Actor Targets Significant U.S. Organization in Four-Month Cyber Attack
Dec 7, 2024, 01:37 AM
A targeted intelligence-gathering attack against a significant U.S. organization operating in China has been attributed to a China-based threat actor, as reported by cybersecurity firm Symantec. The attack, which lasted four months, involved sophisticated tools previously linked to Chinese cyber operations. This incident is part of a broader global espionage campaign that has reportedly affected many Americans and continues to pose a threat. Additionally, recent reports indicate that foreign spies are recruiting Chinese teenagers online to assist in stealing national secrets. The U.S. has also faced accusations from Chinese authorities regarding the fabrication of cyberattacks attributed to other nations, further complicating the cybersecurity landscape.
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Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Agreement reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Talks stalled • 25%
No talks initiated • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Negotiations broken down • 25%
No negotiations initiated • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
Joint cybersecurity framework • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Other agreements • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic fallout • 25%
Security clearance granted • 25%
Security clearance denied • 25%
Ongoing review • 25%
No official outcome • 25%
Joint statement condemning cyber activities • 25%
No significant public outcome • 25%
Announcement of new cybersecurity agreement • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
New trade deal reached • 25%
Trade negotiations stall • 25%
Trade war escalates • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
