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Market
Will Guan Tianfeng be captured or surrender to U.S. authorities by December 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from U.S. Department of Justice or major news outlets
Story
U.S. Offers $10 Million Reward for Chinese Hacker Guan Tianfeng Linked to April 2020 Cyberattacks on 81,000 Sophos Firewalls
Dec 11, 2024, 10:13 AM
The United States has announced a $10 million reward for information leading to the arrest of Guan Tianfeng, a Chinese national implicated in a significant cyberattack that compromised critical domestic infrastructure. The announcement comes alongside sanctions against a Chinese cybersecurity firm and one of its employees, following cyberattacks that occurred in April 2020. A federal court has unsealed an indictment charging Guan with conspiracy to exploit vulnerabilities in 81,000 Sophos firewalls, which allowed unauthorized access to sensitive data and targeted U.S. infrastructure. The U.S. government has emphasized the seriousness of these cyber threats, particularly in light of the potential risks posed by such attacks on essential services.
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United States • 25%
Another country • 25%
Not captured by any country • 25%
China • 25%
Reward leads to capture • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Reward remains unclaimed • 25%
Reward leads to significant information but no capture • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
