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What will be the outcome of US-China diplomatic discussions on the cybersecurity breach by September 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Agreement reached • 25%
No agreement • 25%
Ongoing discussions • 25%
Discussions ended • 25%
Official statements from US or Chinese government
Story
US Treasury Reports Chinese Hackers Stole Documents in 'Major' Cybersecurity Breach
Dec 30, 2024, 10:28 PM
The US Treasury Department reported that Chinese state-sponsored hackers breached its systems earlier this month, gaining access to employee workstations and unclassified documents in what it described as a 'major cybersecurity incident'. The breach, which occurred after hackers compromised a security key from third-party software provider BeyondTrust, was discovered on December 8. Treasury officials informed Congress on Monday, stating that the attackers, identified as an Advanced Persistent Threat (APT) group, no longer have access to the systems. The department is collaborating with the FBI and other agencies to investigate the incident.
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Escalation • 25%
Resolution Reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
No official talks • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Talks ongoing • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Military posturing • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalation of sanctions • 25%
Escalation of cyber conflict • 25%
Increased cyber sanctions • 25%
New cybersecurity agreement • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
No change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Severe diplomatic conflict • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Restrictions lifted • 25%
Further escalations • 25%
No change • 25%
Restrictions eased • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%