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What will be the state of Turkey's diplomatic relations with the U.S. following military actions in Syria by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain the same • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Other diplomatic outcome • 25%
Official diplomatic announcements or changes reported by major news agencies
Story
Turkey Masses Troops Near Kobani, Raising Fears of Imminent Incursion into Kurdish Territory
Dec 17, 2024, 06:52 AM
Turkey and its allied militias are reportedly amassing forces along the border with Syria, including near the city of Kobani, raising concerns among senior U.S. officials that Ankara is preparing for an imminent large-scale incursion into territory held by U.S.-backed Syrian Kurds. The Wall Street Journal cited U.S. officials expressing alarm over the potential operation. Turkish forces, including commandos and artillery, have been observed near Kobani (also known as Ayn al-Arab). Kurdish officials have expressed concern and urged for international intervention to prevent the potential offensive.
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Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Resolution through dialogue • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Full restoration • 25%
Partial restoration • 25%
No restoration • 25%
Other • 25%
Full normalization • 25%
Partial normalization • 25%
No change • 25%
Deterioration • 25%
Improved relations with the US • 25%
Deteriorated relations with the US • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved relations with Syrian government • 25%
Increased tensions with Syrian government • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful mediation • 25%
Failed mediation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Successful peace agreement • 25%
Continued conflict • 25%
Partial resolution • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Improved bilateral relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Deterioration in relations • 25%
Formal alliance or treaty • 25%
Formal agreement reached • 25%
Ongoing negotiations without agreement • 25%
Talks breakdown • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Military cooperation agreement • 25%
Trade agreement • 25%
Diplomatic normalization • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
Strengthened • 25%
Weakened • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Other • 25%